Who's betting on “Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 113 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points.
Who holds it
113 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $0 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $571 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,201 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$0+$255K lifetime
- 2timeistmoney53% won of 679 · balanced$0+$1.6K lifetime
- 3chonkychick75% won of 16$0+$526 lifetime
- 4MrBauer81% won of 120$0−$10K lifetime
- 5K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE52% won of 564 · balanced$0+$2.1K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,201$571−$49K lifetime
- 2Faelara133753% won of 277 · balanced$566+$1.0K lifetime
- 3Stannis-Baratheon64% won of 202$430−$400 lifetime
- 4Roflan-ludoman57% won of 1,034 · whale$290+$202K lifetime
- 5nvidia-user-31057% won of 14$215+$69 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
18 more- October 31$399K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- October 29$58K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- December 31$45K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: Yes
- October 30$32K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- October 24$143K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 17$71K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 22$55K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 14$48K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 27$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 21$43K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 10$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 26$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 12$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 15$18K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 8$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 23$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 16$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?"?
113 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $0 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $571 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,201 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.