Who's betting on “Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?”?
Tech · $12K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
43% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points.
87 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is lukesky1, with $59 on it, $300 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is The-Joker, with $639 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 1,272 markets (64% won).
- Smart money share
- 43%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $249
- Holders' winrate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lukesky1 | $59 | -$300 | - |
| Duratio5whale | $31 | +$33K | 61% of 378 |
| balthazarwhale | $20 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,598 |
| Gardox- | $20 | -$116 | 45% of 11 |
| AJSVwhale | $19 | +$220K | 41% of 103,856 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| The-Jokerwhale | $639 | +$133K | 64% of 1,272 |
| black4562balanced | $303 | +$772 | 72% of 653 |
| Martinus-noise | $269 | +$80 | 44% of 62 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdatewhale | $223 | +$104K | 67% of 1,064 |
| trademaker | $216 | -$1.6K | 60% of 345 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
- October 31$342K vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money split
- October 24$143K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money split
- October 29$38K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: Yes
- December 31$35K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: Yes
- October 30$14K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: No
- October 27$14K vol.Yes 25%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- October 17$71K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 22$55K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 14$48K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 21$43K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 10$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$29K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 12$21K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 15$18K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 8$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 23$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 16$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$888K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$767K vol.Yes 89%No 11%Smart money: Yes
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$737K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$430K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$408K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$401K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is lukesky1, with $59 on it, $300 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is The-Joker, with $639 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 1,272 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.