Who's betting on “Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $154K traded all time
- Held now
- $43K by 388 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 45% 175 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 213 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
45% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
388 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 388 of them. The largest Yes holder is nehocsrizyvqevuidiavaoca, with $1.3K on it, $309 lifetime loss over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is dedidanc, with $9.2K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 175
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 213
- Money on it
- $38K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.0K on it
- 1nehocsrizyvqevuidiavaoca32% won of 22$1.3K−$309 lifetime
- 2maxoli79% won of 19$533+$10K lifetime
- 30x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$337+$27K lifetime
- 40xdamocles69% won of 278 · whale$268+$73K lifetime
- 5issaisking100% won of 1$266−$428 lifetime
No$38K on it
- 1dedidanc67% won of 267$9.2K−$5.3K lifetime
- 2Smart-bettor783% won of 212$3.8K−$2.4K lifetime
- 3rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$3.3K+$76K lifetime
- 4Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$2.4K+$104K lifetime
- 5cym196945% won of 29 · noise$1.8K+$3.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
7 more- December 31$115K vol.Yes 90%No 11%Smart money: Yes
- November 15$85K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: No
- November 30$24K vol.Yes 74%No 27%Smart money split
- December 15$11K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: No
- October 23$80K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 16$56K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?"?
388 wallets hold a position worth $43K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 388 of them. The largest Yes holder is nehocsrizyvqevuidiavaoca, with $1.3K on it, $309 lifetime loss over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is dedidanc, with $9.2K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.