Who's betting on “Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.3K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 55 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $1.4K on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is TheNobleSavage, with $308 on it, $8.6K lifetime loss over 392 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.7K on it
- 1rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$1.4K+$76K lifetime
- 20x0E17FE350C6F3F443b207181fa550873f6b91787-178996907793390% won of 10$654−$429 lifetime
- 3moneymakingmachine58% won of 1,109$377−$12K lifetime
- 40xdamocles69% won of 278 · whale$370+$73K lifetime
- 50x3814198398E2d02c0e8fBa652345995cF84417bC-178214009299854% won of 546$296−$9.2K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1TheNobleSavage40% won of 392$308−$8.6K lifetime
- 2Optimus-55% won of 330 · whale$263+$121K lifetime
- 3troim66% won of 819 · whale$260+$90K lifetime
- 40x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-173522719331873% won of 112 · balanced$141+$20K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$113−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
7 more- October 31$154K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money split
- December 31$115K vol.Yes 90%No 11%Smart money: Yes
- November 15$85K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: No
- December 15$11K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: No
- October 23$80K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 16$56K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $1.4K on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is TheNobleSavage, with $308 on it, $8.6K lifetime loss over 392 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.