Who's betting on “Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 16, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is chessplayer, with $412 on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,374 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is rocky42008, with $127 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 787 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $392
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1chessplayer70% won of 1,374$412−$17K lifetime
- 20xdamocles69% won of 278 · whale$387+$73K lifetime
- 3edge99959% won of 283 · balanced$342+$575 lifetime
- 4KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$293+$37K lifetime
- 5rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$259+$76K lifetime
No$392 on it
- 1rocky4200848% won of 787 · whale$127+$4.1K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$99+$203K lifetime
- 3Martinus-50% won of 131 · balanced$45+$521 lifetime
- 4GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$30−$89K lifetime
- 5BAO9588969% won of 840 · whale$16+$32K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
7 more- October 31$154K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money split
- December 31$115K vol.Yes 90%No 11%Smart money: Yes
- November 15$85K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: No
- November 30$24K vol.Yes 74%No 27%Smart money split
- October 23$80K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 16$56K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is chessplayer, with $412 on it, $17K lifetime loss over 1,374 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is rocky42008, with $127 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 787 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.