Who's betting on “Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $85K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.3K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $85K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $558 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is flexibleagedbeef, with $2.2K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (91% won).
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$558+$104K lifetime
- 26F456F7474666A747980% won of 50$199−$1.7K lifetime
- 3ManLz100% won of 1$161−$99 lifetime
- 40x0E17FE350C6F3F443b207181fa550873f6b91787-178996907793390% won of 10$151−$429 lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427162% won of 6,187 · whale$140+$64K lifetime
No$4.3K on it
- 1flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$2.2K+$2.3K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$446+$203K lifetime
- 3molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$340+$46K lifetime
- 4Mr.Frog🐸62% won of 302 · whale$322+$4.7K lifetime
- 5Sgnil79% won of 73$228−$5.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
7 more- October 31$153K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- December 31$115K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- November 30$24K vol.Yes 74%No 26%Smart money split
- December 15$10K vol.Yes 90%No 11%Smart money: No
- October 23$80K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 16$56K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$923K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$883K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $558 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is flexibleagedbeef, with $2.2K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $85K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.