Who's betting on “Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $115K traded all time
- Held now
- $42K by 181 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 106 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 74 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $115K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 40 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
Who holds it
181 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 180 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $16K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is dedidanc, with $1.3K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $635 on Yes.
- Holders
- 106
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
- Snipers
- 1 · $635
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$37K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$16K+$100K lifetime
- 20xef97…ab2c97% won of 37 · grinder$6.5K+$1.4K lifetime
- 3Sukbae Lee80% won of 5$2.6K+$10K lifetime
- 4maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$2.4K+$2.6K lifetime
- 50xdamocles69% won of 278 · whale$1.3K+$73K lifetime
No$4.4K on it
- 1dedidanc67% won of 267$1.3K−$5.3K lifetime
- 2Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$537+$104K lifetime
- 3BigMackyG71% won of 228 · whale$513+$44K lifetime
- 4chessplayer70% won of 1,374$415−$17K lifetime
- 5molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$387+$46K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
7 more- October 31$154K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money split
- November 15$85K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: No
- November 30$24K vol.Yes 74%No 27%Smart money split
- December 15$11K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: No
- October 23$80K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 16$56K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?"?
181 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 180 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $16K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is dedidanc, with $1.3K on it, $5.3K lifetime loss over 267 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 11¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $115K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 40 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.