Who's betting on “Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?”?
Smart money leans No: 57% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $72K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 115 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 34% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 60 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 25¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
The smart money
34% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
115 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddapadda, with $2.1K on it, $965 lifetime loss over 70 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $1.1K on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $9.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.7K on it
- 1paddapadda41% won of 70$2.1K−$965 lifetime
- 2Eire68% won of 446$1.8K−$116K lifetime
- 3SusanWarrenHR75% won of 1,119 · whale$880+$95K lifetime
- 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$555−$7.8K lifetime
- 5Dreamwire86% won of 2,439 · whale$522+$9.4K lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$1.1K+$170K lifetime
- 20xf0df89D9F60612e56F005a28d47210e1CB2369C5-176779157484363% won of 267 · whale$496+$4.1K lifetime
- 3OllonPiercing40% won of 63$496−$491 lifetime
- 4TheSwedishWolf50% won of 226$431−$3.3K lifetime
- 5hojs82% won of 11$220−$181 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
7 more- Left Party (V)$47K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Sweden Democrats (SD)$31K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Green Party (MP)$30K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- Moderate Party (M)$26K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Centre Party (C)$25K vol.Yes 49%No 51%Smart money: No
- Christian Democrats (KD)$24K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Liberals (L)$23K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?"?
115 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddapadda, with $2.1K on it, $965 lifetime loss over 70 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $1.1K on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 25¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
34% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.