Who's betting on “Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 50% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.2K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 23% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is Adkxkrnfbr, with $109 on it, $195 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $1.7K on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $597
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$597 on it
- 1Adkxkrnfbr100% won of 1$109+$195 lifetime
- 2Crickysnokenno record yet$76+$0 lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$67+$255K lifetime
- 40x37cAb066Ad5670a99a0C000D73F8135Bc2F7b191-1768455443494no record yet$49−$2 lifetime
- 50xF0Fcd17E67942CE838a622eA23CBa81E019aa109-178264435277933% won of 9$48−$32 lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 10x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-177456477937678% won of 156$1.7K−$5.4K lifetime
- 2Roro2269% won of 231 · balanced$269+$9.3K lifetime
- 30xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-176594332681137% won of 6,419 · noise$225+$20K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$76−$320K lifetime
- 5tabcoin38% won of 16$63−$165 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
7 more- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)$72K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- Left Party (V)$47K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Sweden Democrats (SD)$31K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Green Party (MP)$30K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- Moderate Party (M)$26K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Centre Party (C)$25K vol.Yes 49%No 51%Smart money: No
- Liberals (L)$23K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is Adkxkrnfbr, with $109 on it, $195 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $1.7K on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.