Who's betting on “Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf0df89D9F60612e56F005a28d47210e1CB2369C5-1767791574843, with $127 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 267 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $543 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $562
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$562 on it
- 10xf0df89D9F60612e56F005a28d47210e1CB2369C5-176779157484363% won of 267 · whale$127+$4.1K lifetime
- 2madmartigan578% won of 60 · whale$84+$14K lifetime
- 30x37cAb066Ad5670a99a0C000D73F8135Bc2F7b191-1768455443494no record yet$63−$2 lifetime
- 4Cbor75% won of 8$61−$272 lifetime
- 5DuneMentat74% won of 841$32−$12K lifetime
No$2.2K on it
- 10x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-177456477937678% won of 156$543−$5.4K lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$284−$8.2K lifetime
- 3Dreamwire86% won of 2,439 · whale$273+$9.4K lifetime
- 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$239+$170K lifetime
- 5Relaccsed56% won of 459 · whale$224+$10K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
7 more- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)$72K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- Left Party (V)$47K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Sweden Democrats (SD)$31K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Green Party (MP)$30K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- Moderate Party (M)$26K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Centre Party (C)$25K vol.Yes 49%No 51%Smart money: No
- Christian Democrats (KD)$24K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf0df89D9F60612e56F005a28d47210e1CB2369C5-1767791574843, with $127 on it, $4.1K lifetime profit over 267 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $543 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.