Who's betting on “Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?”?
Smart money leans No: 44% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.5K by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $778 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is TheSwedishWolf, with $414 on it, $3.3K lifetime loss over 226 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.2K on it
- 10x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-177456477937678% won of 156$778−$5.4K lifetime
- 2Eire68% won of 446$314−$116K lifetime
- 3GollumGekko73% won of 1,183 · whale$244+$290K lifetime
- 4paddapadda41% won of 70$137−$965 lifetime
- 50xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-176594332681137% won of 6,419 · noise$126+$20K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1TheSwedishWolf50% won of 226$414−$3.3K lifetime
- 2vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$252+$170K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$100+$255K lifetime
- 4hoooooooooold70% won of 243$90−$8.4K lifetime
- 5min767% won of 3$78−$424 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
7 more- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)$72K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- Left Party (V)$47K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Sweden Democrats (SD)$31K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Moderate Party (M)$26K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Centre Party (C)$25K vol.Yes 49%No 51%Smart money: No
- Christian Democrats (KD)$24K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Liberals (L)$23K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $778 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is TheSwedishWolf, with $414 on it, $3.3K lifetime loss over 226 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.