Who's betting on “Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 47% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 88 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
88 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is Crickysnoken, with $61 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $674 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $430
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$430 on it
- 1Crickysnokenno record yet$61+$0 lifetime
- 20x1d7746fFa81f7469EB63232d659d6E5855b72098-176916042620088% won of 16$52+$96 lifetime
- 3Cbor75% won of 8$43−$272 lifetime
- 4mstrom25% won of 92$42−$2.1K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$36−$217K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$674−$8.2K lifetime
- 2Dreamwire86% won of 2,439 · whale$239+$9.4K lifetime
- 30x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-177456477937678% won of 156$234−$5.4K lifetime
- 4Roro2269% won of 231 · balanced$162+$9.3K lifetime
- 5TheFinder379% won of 203$122−$5.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
7 more- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)$72K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- Left Party (V)$47K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Sweden Democrats (SD)$31K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Green Party (MP)$30K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- Centre Party (C)$25K vol.Yes 49%No 51%Smart money: No
- Christian Democrats (KD)$24K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Liberals (L)$23K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 88 of them. The largest Yes holder is Crickysnoken, with $61 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $674 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.