Who's betting on “Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 86 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
Who holds it
86 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x539CAdD00c32aa5aaC815573940c5CF50eb92376-1767975083675, with $710 on it, $457 lifetime profit over 8 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is Roro22, with $549 on it, $9.3K lifetime profit over 231 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.7K on it
- 10x539CAdD00c32aa5aaC815573940c5CF50eb92376-176797508367563% won of 8$710+$457 lifetime
- 2DuneMentat74% won of 841$360−$12K lifetime
- 3hojs82% won of 11$355−$181 lifetime
- 4wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$201+$4.2K lifetime
- 5Cbor75% won of 8$141−$272 lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1Roro2269% won of 231 · balanced$549+$9.3K lifetime
- 2WikLipinG45% won of 53$403−$308 lifetime
- 3manlets61% won of 259 · balanced$376+$687 lifetime
- 4oplix66% won of 83 · balanced$215+$46 lifetime
- 50x6CE63cde5213F55af3994C8405004D9D9EA826c0-1764593166029100% won of 2$147+$179 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
7 more- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)$72K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- Left Party (V)$47K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Sweden Democrats (SD)$31K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Green Party (MP)$30K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- Moderate Party (M)$26K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Christian Democrats (KD)$24K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Liberals (L)$23K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?"?
86 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x539CAdD00c32aa5aaC815573940c5CF50eb92376-1767975083675, with $710 on it, $457 lifetime profit over 8 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is Roro22, with $549 on it, $9.3K lifetime profit over 231 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.