Who's betting on “Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.8K by 84 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.
Who holds it
84 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf727577432B8EE69D4936D035938Db42fE397186-1772010720598, with $100 on it, $41 lifetime profit over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is StoffeH, with $932 on it, $158 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $783
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$783 on it
- 10xf727577432B8EE69D4936D035938Db42fE397186-177201072059857% won of 7$100+$41 lifetime
- 2JGripen0% won of 2$91−$694 lifetime
- 3Cbor75% won of 8$85−$272 lifetime
- 40x37cAb066Ad5670a99a0C000D73F8135Bc2F7b191-1768455443494no record yet$84−$2 lifetime
- 5stojanKing50% won of 2$66+$196 lifetime
No$6.0K on it
- 1StoffeH100% won of 1$932+$158 lifetime
- 2Roro2269% won of 231 · balanced$821+$9.3K lifetime
- 3pagliacci493% won of 1,557$765−$14K lifetime
- 40xf0df89D9F60612e56F005a28d47210e1CB2369C5-176779157484363% won of 267 · whale$748+$4.1K lifetime
- 5GollumGekko73% won of 1,183 · whale$624+$290K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
7 more- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)$72K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- Left Party (V)$47K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Green Party (MP)$30K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- Moderate Party (M)$26K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Centre Party (C)$25K vol.Yes 49%No 51%Smart money: No
- Christian Democrats (KD)$24K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Liberals (L)$23K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?"?
84 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf727577432B8EE69D4936D035938Db42fE397186-1772010720598, with $100 on it, $41 lifetime profit over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is StoffeH, with $932 on it, $158 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.