Who's betting on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 63 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points.
Who holds it
63 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pump, with $190 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 242 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $418 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $250 on No.
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $492
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $250
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$492 on it
- 1Pump29% won of 242 · noise$190+$51K lifetime
- 2Liechti051% won of 99 · balanced$87+$6.4K lifetime
- 3rando1234561% won of 234 · whale$69+$15K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$57+$255K lifetime
- 5Hall-ex29% won of 41$40−$765 lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$418+$104K lifetime
- 2SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$321+$10K lifetime
- 3K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE52% won of 564 · balanced$308+$2.1K lifetime
- 4makeit9994% won of 302 · sniper$250+$83K lifetime
- 5papaseaon89% won of 9$232+$69 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
4 more- 1510+$31K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- 1520+$17K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- 1530+$16K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: Yes
- 1500+$11K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?"?
63 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pump, with $190 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 242 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $418 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.