Who's betting on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is rando12345, with $937 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 234 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $79 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $194
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 1rando1234561% won of 234 · whale$937+$15K lifetime
- 2jesusonxco9676682% won of 11$539+$76 lifetime
- 30x8482828377382938% won of 360$402−$26K lifetime
- 4can11176% won of 228$375−$5.1K lifetime
- 5Zabahudin53% won of 234 · balanced$195+$585 lifetime
No$194 on it
- 1iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$79+$97K lifetime
- 2Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$38+$2.8K lifetime
- 3Numitus199449% won of 15,720$26−$28K lifetime
- 4NoTeacher66% won of 413 · balanced$17+$2.8K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$8+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
4 more- 1510+$31K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- 1520+$17K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- 1530+$16K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: Yes
- 1540+$14K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is rando12345, with $937 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 234 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $79 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.