Who's betting on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 78 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.2K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 99% 11 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 22% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
99% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 81 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pump, with $911 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 242 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is Hannah-Montana, with $1.1K on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 338 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1Pump29% won of 242 · noise$911+$51K lifetime
- 20x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-176685531788349% won of 265 · whale$160+$26K lifetime
- 3ghorrock64% won of 33,395 · whale$39+$7.2K lifetime
- 4SuperTests52% won of 1,676 · balanced$25+$15K lifetime
- 5lawnet753% won of 15$25+$243 lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 1Hannah-Montana64% won of 338$1.1K−$7.8K lifetime
- 2flywheelpoly68% won of 543$199−$6.3K lifetime
- 3SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$158+$10K lifetime
- 40x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F27% won of 15,727$70−$81K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$62−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
4 more- 1510+$31K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- 1520+$17K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- 1540+$14K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- 1500+$11K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pump, with $911 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 242 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is Hannah-Montana, with $1.1K on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 338 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 81 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.