Who's betting on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.5K by 98 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 48% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 81¢ and No at 19¢, an 81% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
48% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
Who holds it
98 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x84828283773829, with $1.7K on it, $26K lifetime loss over 360 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $745 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.7K on it
- 10x8482828377382938% won of 360$1.7K−$26K lifetime
- 2rando1234561% won of 234 · whale$1.6K+$15K lifetime
- 30x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-176685531788349% won of 265 · whale$437+$26K lifetime
- 4X-Rabbit.Sezu66% won of 443 · whale$338+$35K lifetime
- 5lisa6749% won of 167$324−$1.3K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 1iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$745+$97K lifetime
- 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$271+$46K lifetime
- 3Mr.Frog🐸62% won of 302 · whale$264+$4.7K lifetime
- 4Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$95+$2.8K lifetime
- 5flywheelpoly68% won of 543$74−$6.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
4 more- 1520+$17K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- 1530+$16K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: Yes
- 1540+$14K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- 1500+$11K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?"?
98 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x84828283773829, with $1.7K on it, $26K lifetime loss over 360 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $745 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 81¢ and No at 19¢, an 81% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.