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Who's betting on “Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?”?

Geopolitics$63K traded36 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 25, 2026
14%Yes🧠 smart money
86%No

Smart money leans Yes: 67% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$63K
traded all time
Held now
$398
by 36 wallets
Smart share · Yes
67%
15 scored holders
Smart share · No
45%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

67% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.

Who holds it

36 wallets hold a position worth $398 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them.

Yes14%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share67% ▲ 6 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 58%a day ago 62%now 67%
Holders
15
Money on it
$32
Holders' win rate
43%
No86%
Smart money share45% ▼ 51 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 96%a day ago 96%now 45%
Holders
21
Money on it
$366
Holders' win rate
31%
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?"?

36 wallets hold a position worth $398 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.