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Who's betting on Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026??

Geopolitics4 markets$174K traded
20%Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
14%Ricardo Ruiz Velasco🧠 smart money

Smart money backs Ricardo Ruiz Velasco: 67% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of No. The price favours Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar at 20%.

Markets
4
4 still open
Traded
$174K
across the event
Favourite
20%
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
Smart money pick
67%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

What the money says

The odds

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco Yes 14% · Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez Yes 11% · Juan Reyes Mejía González Yes 10% · Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar Yes 20%.

The smart money

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco: smart money on Yes · Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez: smart money split · Juan Reyes Mejía González: smart money on No · Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar: smart money split.

Every market in this event

the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each
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Follow the smart money on Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?, as it happens.

Questions

Who is betting on Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026??

Polkyo scores every holder of the 4 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: Ricardo Ruiz Velasco Yes 14%, smart money on Yes; Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez Yes 11%, smart money split; Juan Reyes Mejía González Yes 10%, smart money on No; Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar Yes 20%, smart money split.

What are the Polymarket odds for Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026??

The biggest: Ricardo Ruiz Velasco Yes 14%, smart money on Yes; Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez Yes 11%, smart money split; Juan Reyes Mejía González Yes 10%, smart money on No; Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar Yes 20%, smart money split.

What is smart money share?

The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.