Who's betting on “Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 61 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
Who holds it
61 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is GRodBets, with $9 on it, $633 lifetime loss over 185 markets (18% won). The largest No holder is traboukos, with $351 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 71 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $37
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$37 on it
- 1GRodBets18% won of 185$9−$633 lifetime
- 2Numitus199449% won of 15,720$4−$28K lifetime
- 3CryptoGerm10% won of 282$4−$894 lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$3+$27K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$3+$255K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1traboukos70% won of 71$351−$1.3K lifetime
- 2athena0883% won of 212$212−$4 lifetime
- 3shiifoo52% won of 4,738 · whale$135+$46K lifetime
- 4phillyk54dawg99% won of 201 · balanced$107+$269 lifetime
- 5ooops67% won of 215$56−$6.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
9 more- Earbuds/Headphones$125K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Glasses$71K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money split
- Phone$64K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Computer (Laptop/Desktop)$45K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Watch$44K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Clip-on device for clothing$28K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Tablet$26K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Ring$16K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money split
- Head-mounted display$15K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?"?
61 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is GRodBets, with $9 on it, $633 lifetime loss over 185 markets (18% won). The largest No holder is traboukos, with $351 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 71 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.