Who's betting on “Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.2K by 97 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 53 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
97 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $16 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $773 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $121
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$121 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$16+$255K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$16+$334K lifetime
- 3Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$14+$44K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$12+$325K lifetime
- 5dropmeplease41% won of 377$11−$14K lifetime
No$2.1K on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$773−$377K lifetime
- 2traboukos70% won of 71$359−$1.3K lifetime
- 3Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$190+$1.5M lifetime
- 4aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$130+$201K lifetime
- 50x5201cEe493c5C30b206aEE64Fd9D67db0b2934c3-176747782803969% won of 209$95−$2.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
9 more- Earbuds/Headphones$125K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Glasses$71K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money split
- Phone$64K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- Watch$44K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Necklace$28K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Clip-on device for clothing$28K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Tablet$26K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Ring$16K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money split
- Head-mounted display$15K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?"?
97 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $16 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $773 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.