Who's betting on “Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $55K traded all time
- Held now
- $10.0K by 108 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
108 wallets hold a position worth $10.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them.
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
3 more- ↑ 1600$27K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- ↑ 1540$15K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ 1530$19K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?"?
108 wallets hold a position worth $10.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.