Who's betting on “Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $19K has been traded on it.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
3 more- ↑ 1550$55K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ 1600$27K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- ↑ 1540$15K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $19K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $19K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.