Who's betting on “Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 31% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Raskell, with $1.4K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 403 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $30 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $177
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.8K on it
- 1Raskell61% won of 403 · whale$1.4K+$69K lifetime
- 2PavtheGreat51% won of 296$423−$2.4K lifetime
- 3jkerkela61% won of 106 · balanced$289+$490 lifetime
- 4kanhaoleaha83% won of 212 · balanced$200+$209 lifetime
- 5chessplayer70% won of 1,380$174−$17K lifetime
No$177 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$30+$255K lifetime
- 2rocky4202353% won of 1,245$22−$19K lifetime
- 3spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$16+$27K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$16−$377K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$16−$485K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
10 more- October 30$95K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: Yes
- October 29$92K vol.Yes 92%No 9%Smart money: Yes
- October 12$64K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: No
- October 8$63K vol.Yes 83%No 17%Smart money: No
- October 6$54K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: No
- October 11$39K vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- October 23$12K vol.Yes 74%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- October 1$454K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 26$13K vol. · ClosedYes 99%No 1%Smart money split
- October 27$11K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Raskell, with $1.4K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 403 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $30 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.