Who's betting on “Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?”?

Geopolitics · $54K volume · Ends October 7, 2026 · Updated October 5, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 16¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 7, 2026.

36% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.

52 wallets hold a position worth $291 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them.

Yes84%
Smart money share
36% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
31
Money on it
$244
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No16%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
83% ▼ 9 pts 24 h
Holders
21
Money on it
$46
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?"?

52 wallets hold a position worth $291 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 16¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 7, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

36% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo