Who's betting on “Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?”?
Geopolitics · $89K volume · Ends October 30, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
79% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points.
79 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is Raskell, with $791 on it, $65K lifetime profit over 380 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is rocky42023, with $111 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,174 markets (52% won).
- Smart money share
- 79% ▲ 52 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 31%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $527
- Holders' winrate
- 44%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raskellwhale | $791 | +$65K | 62% of 380 |
| chessplayer | $148 | -$18K | 70% of 1,218 |
| kanhaoleahabalanced | $140 | +$333 | 83% of 211 |
| jkerkela | $23 | -$31 | 58% of 78 |
| PavtheGreat | $23 | -$2.4K | 52% of 287 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| rocky42023 | $111 | -$19K | 52% of 1,174 |
| AJSVwhale | $71 | +$218K | 41% of 102,753 |
| hfv | $58 | -$119K | 43% of 32,104 |
| crypto-basenjiwhale | $38 | +$8.2K | 47% of 339 |
| K80PRObalanced | $36 | +$393 | 53% of 474 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
- October 30$90K vol.Yes 68%No 33%Smart money: Yes
- October 12$64K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: No
- October 8$63K vol.Yes 83%No 17%Smart money: No
- October 6$54K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: No
- October 11$39K vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- October 23$12K vol.Yes 74%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- October 1$454K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? →
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.4M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?$2.1M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is Raskell, with $791 on it, $65K lifetime profit over 380 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is rocky42023, with $111 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,174 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.