Who's betting on “Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?”?
Geopolitics · $12K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 23, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 26¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
53% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points.
436 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 436 of them. The largest Yes holder is PavtheGreat, with $386 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 287 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is rocky42023, with $202 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,174 markets (52% won).
- Smart money share
- 53% ▲ 6 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 261
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 30% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 175
- Money on it
- $465
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| PavtheGreat | $386 | -$2.4K | 52% of 287 |
| 101456balanced | $162 | +$15K | 60% of 265 |
| crypto-basenjiwhale | $103 | +$8.2K | 47% of 339 |
| HerrieDaviswhale | $83 | +$328K | 63% of 2,442 |
| Poorywhale | $74 | +$28K | 75% of 220 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| rocky42023 | $202 | -$19K | 52% of 1,174 |
| AJSVwhale | $40 | +$218K | 41% of 102,753 |
| chessplayer | $23 | -$18K | 70% of 1,218 |
| hfv | $16 | -$119K | 43% of 32,104 |
| 0x4613…7932 | $11 | -$950 | 33% of 403 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
- October 30$90K vol.Yes 68%No 33%Smart money: Yes
- October 29$89K vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money: Yes
- October 12$64K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: No
- October 8$63K vol.Yes 83%No 17%Smart money: No
- October 6$54K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: No
- October 11$39K vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- October 1$454K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?"?
436 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 436 of them. The largest Yes holder is PavtheGreat, with $386 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 287 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is rocky42023, with $202 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,174 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 26¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.