arii
Down $6.7K on $199K traded, ranked #3,208,935 of all Polymarket traders.
- Win rate
- 61% of 261 markets
- ROI
- −3.4% profit over volume
- Volume
- $199K all time
- Open now
- $27K in 23 markets
- Politics65%
- Iran35%
- Economy0%
About arii
The money
arii is a Polymarket trader with a $6.7K lifetime loss on $199K traded. That is a return of −3.4% on every dollar they have put through the market. On Polymarket's all-time profit leaderboard they rank #3,208,935. Polkyo has been recording their moves since September 2026.
The record
Polkyo has scored 261 closed markets for arii, and they came out ahead on 61% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 28 out of 100: a mixed record.
How they trade
Most of their open money is in politics (65%), iran (35%) and economy (0%) markets.
Right now
Right now the scanner sees arii in 23 open markets, with $27K on the line. Their largest position is $6.7K on No in "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?", which trades at 97¢. Next is $6.3K on Yes in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?".
The last 30 days
In the last 30 days Polkyo logged 52 moves by arii across 17 markets: $6.0K bought and $845 sold. The latest: added to $143 of No in "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?" at 72¢.
What arii holds right now
23 open markets · $27K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$6.7KNo at 97¢ · 97% chance · Iran
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$6.3KYes at 86¢ · 86% chance · Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$3.8KNo at 82¢ · 82% chance · Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$1.9KNo at 96¢ · 96% chance · Politics
Iran leadership change by December 31?No$1.7KNo at 87¢ · 87% chance · Politics
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?No$1.0KNo at 88¢ · 88% chance · IranLatest moves
what arii did most recently- Added toWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?+$143No at 72¢ · 12h ago
- Added toWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?+$80No at 80¢ · 12h ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?+$82Yes at 82¢ · 14h ago- Added toWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?+$85No at 71¢ · 16h ago
- BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?+$239No at 80¢ · 16h ago
Trimmed×2Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$202No at 52¢ · 1d ago
Sold out ofRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?−$182Yes at 52¢ · 2d ago
Don't just read about arii. Trade alongside them.
Questions about arii
Is arii a good Polymarket trader?
Polkyo has scored 261 closed markets for arii, and they came out ahead on 61% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 28 out of 100: a mixed record. In all, they are down $6.7K.
How much has arii made on Polymarket?
arii has lost $6.7K in total on $199K traded, #3,208,935 on Polymarket's all-time leaderboard.
What is arii betting on right now?
Right now the scanner sees arii in 23 open markets, with $27K on the line. Their largest position is $6.7K on No in "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?", which trades at 97¢. Next is $6.3K on Yes in "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?".
Is arii a bot?
Polkyo has not classified this wallet's trading yet.
How can I follow arii's trades?
Open arii's page on Polkyo and press Follow: you get an alert every time they buy or sell, and every trade lands on your watchlist. You can also copy their trades with play money in paper copy trading. Both are free.
Figures from Polymarket's public data, scored by Polkyo with <2s update latency. How Polkyo works. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.