Who's betting on “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Kshzx, with $1.3K on it, $2.0K lifetime profit over 28 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is 0x47AA2e0410E1125B8320CDdb7074C0fa5E7da209-1756766013120, with $3.3K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 7 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.6K on it
- 1Kshzx54% won of 28 · noise$1.3K+$2.0K lifetime
- 2aybigspender29% won of 131 · noise$819+$8.3K lifetime
- 3shdpahdfuldfk8820% won of 61$554−$2.0K lifetime
- 4Nonameye36% won of 22$316−$834 lifetime
- 5Mrdov20% won of 80$128−$6 lifetime
No$14K on it
- 10x47AA2e0410E1125B8320CDdb7074C0fa5E7da209-1756766013120100% won of 7$3.3K+$2.6K lifetime
- 2AlAhmeda71% won of 1,367$3.0K−$96K lifetime
- 3yomayo78% won of 108$2.1K−$24K lifetime
- 4godpls66% won of 208 · balanced$794+$1.5K lifetime
- 5Pantheon173% won of 227 · balanced$623+$4.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Kshzx, with $1.3K on it, $2.0K lifetime profit over 28 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is 0x47AA2e0410E1125B8320CDdb7074C0fa5E7da209-1756766013120, with $3.3K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 7 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.