Who's betting on “Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 116 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 80 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 27% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 27% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 57 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
Who holds it
116 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $21 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is sunnybank, with $1.1K on it, $167 lifetime loss over 137 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $62
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$62 on it
- 1Wojtek15% won of 229 · noise$21+$55K lifetime
- 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$6+$46K lifetime
- 3garbagecollect266% won of 1,896 · whale$6+$30K lifetime
- 4acal79% won of 520 · whale$3+$15K lifetime
- 5X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$3+$38K lifetime
No$2.1K on it
- 1sunnybank78% won of 137$1.1K−$167 lifetime
- 2HHE66648% won of 243 · balanced$262+$2.9K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,005$201−$50K lifetime
- 4enaich73% won of 194$100−$132 lifetime
- 5dips.47% won of 26,307 · whale$75+$14K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
9 more- Alibaba$82K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Moonshot$81K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Xiaomi$61K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- MiniMax$29K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- DeepSeek$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tencent$27K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- ByteDance$27K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Baidu$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- StepFun$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
116 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $21 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is sunnybank, with $1.1K on it, $167 lifetime loss over 137 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 27% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 57 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.