Who's betting on “Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $82K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.9K by 289 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 208 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 22% 81 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $82K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
Who holds it
289 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 289 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $171 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is 8dcc906a9b, with $1.3K on it, $38K lifetime loss over 155 markets (52% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on Yes.
- Holders
- 208
- Money on it
- $758
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $6.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$758 on it
- 1Wojtek15% won of 229 · noise$171+$55K lifetime
- 2scottxia198882% won of 260 · whale$60+$180K lifetime
- 3fiter17% won of 842 · noise$45+$50K lifetime
- 4maraya72% won of 1,545$45−$12K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 86,370 · noise$36+$828K lifetime
No$6.1K on it
- 18dcc906a9b52% won of 155$1.3K−$38K lifetime
- 2Milksheen61% won of 92$931−$13K lifetime
- 3soll262% won of 167$762−$5.8K lifetime
- 4haruka7716% won of 19$528−$3.5K lifetime
- 5recallcp100% won of 11$514+$388 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
9 more- Moonshot$81K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Xiaomi$61K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- Z.ai$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- MiniMax$29K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- DeepSeek$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tencent$27K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- ByteDance$27K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Baidu$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- StepFun$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
289 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 289 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $171 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is 8dcc906a9b, with $1.3K on it, $38K lifetime loss over 155 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $82K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.