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Who's betting on “Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?”?

Tech$13K traded74 holdersEnds October 31, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes🧠 smart money
100%No

Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$317
by 74 wallets
Smart share · Yes
93%
68 scored holders
Smart share · No
56%
6 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.

The smart money

93% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.

Who holds it

74 wallets hold a position worth $317 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $2 on it, $828K lifetime profit over 86,370 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is nxfthsrt, with $108 on it, $19 lifetime loss over 117 markets (88% won).

Yes0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93% ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 96%a day ago 89%now 93%
Holders
68
Money on it
$12
Holders' win rate
40%
No100%
Smart money share56%
7 days ago 47%a day ago 56%now 56%
Holders
6
Money on it
$305
Holders' win rate
92%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$12 on it

  1. 1donthackme29% won of 86,370 · noise$2+$828K lifetime
  2. 20xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-177881046449310% won of 33,616 · noise$1+$21K lifetime
  3. 3taerv53438% won of 221 · noise$1+$89K lifetime
  4. 4e46m347% won of 87,772 · whale$1+$963K lifetime
  5. 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$1+$132K lifetime

No$305 on it

  1. 1nxfthsrt88% won of 117$108−$19 lifetime
  2. 2ggdsgsb90% won of 83 · balanced$85+$465 lifetime
  3. 3xfghfg97% won of 75 · grinder$80+$18 lifetime
  4. 4longtai95% won of 37$23−$875 lifetime
  5. 5nbvgfyy100% won of 6$6+$20 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?"?

74 wallets hold a position worth $317 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $2 on it, $828K lifetime profit over 86,370 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is nxfthsrt, with $108 on it, $19 lifetime loss over 117 markets (88% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.