
Who's betting on “Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $996 by 43 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 47% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 33¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points.
Who holds it
43 wallets hold a position worth $996 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them.
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $754
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $242
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
3 more- Alibaba$16K vol.Yes 82%No 18%Smart money: Yes
- Google$13K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Meta$10K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
43 wallets hold a position worth $996 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 33¢ and No at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.