Who's betting on “Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $118 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is molodoyy, with $210 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $267
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $849
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$267 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$118+$203K lifetime
- 2X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$76+$38K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$24+$255K lifetime
- 4SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$11+$10K lifetime
- 50x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-176172322749479% won of 452 · balanced$8+$1.5K lifetime
No$849 on it
- 1molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$210+$46K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,414 · whale$151+$1.2M lifetime
- 3Dapsy51% won of 919$131−$73K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$101+$27K lifetime
- 5dgfd7679% won of 278$74−$61 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
3 more- Alibaba$16K vol.Yes 82%No 18%Smart money: Yes
- Z.ai$12K vol.Yes 33%No 67%Smart money: Yes
- Meta$10K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $118 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is molodoyy, with $210 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.