Who's betting on “Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 79¢ and No at 21¢, a 79% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is SingletonFamilyFund, with $478 on it, $10K lifetime profit over 314 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $56 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,234 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $162
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.3K on it
- 1SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$478+$10K lifetime
- 2X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$395+$38K lifetime
- 3CEMFI9976% won of 33$318−$475 lifetime
- 4lightsout91281% won of 273 · balanced$277+$3.5K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$200−$217K lifetime
No$162 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$56+$254K lifetime
- 2PavtheGreat51% won of 296$42−$2.4K lifetime
- 3WarriorH42% won of 42,762 · whale$12+$146K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,901 · whale$9+$164K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$7−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
3 more- Google$13K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Z.ai$12K vol.Yes 33%No 67%Smart money: Yes
- Meta$10K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is SingletonFamilyFund, with $478 on it, $10K lifetime profit over 314 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $56 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,234 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 79¢ and No at 21¢, a 79% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.