Who's betting on “Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $994 by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 11% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $994 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $50 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 8dcc906a9b, with $329 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 155 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $156
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $838
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$156 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$50+$254K lifetime
- 2Wojtek15% won of 229 · noise$32+$55K lifetime
- 3X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$19+$38K lifetime
- 4jovidalao71% won of 38 · balanced$14+$188 lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,364$7−$217K lifetime
No$838 on it
- 18dcc906a9b52% won of 155$329−$38K lifetime
- 2shangqian34% won of 137$326−$1.6K lifetime
- 30x745Ae9cBc1784A62ebd7D9fE8b04a6F6F8f064E8-172850276638276% won of 227 · whale$61+$79 lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,325$57−$53K lifetime
- 5LabEma100% won of 23$30+$35 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
3 more- Moonshot$28K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- Alibaba$20K vol.Yes 68%No 32%Smart money: Yes
- Xiaomi$11K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $994 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $50 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 8dcc906a9b, with $329 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 155 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.