Who's betting on “Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 66 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.0K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $74 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $179 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,344 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $459
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $576
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$459 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$74+$38K lifetime
- 20x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks1374% won of 303 · balanced$62+$11K lifetime
- 3SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$59+$10K lifetime
- 4molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$47+$46K lifetime
- 5Snipe8Sniper86% won of 28$43−$254 lifetime
No$576 on it
- 1tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$179−$217K lifetime
- 2vitalik-fan46% won of 76$91−$176 lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$58−$320K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,296$52−$52K lifetime
- 5Dapsy51% won of 919$44−$73K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
3 more- Alibaba$20K vol.Yes 68%No 32%Smart money: Yes
- Xiaomi$11K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Z.ai$10K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $74 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $179 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,344 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 60 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.