Who's betting on “Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $734 by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $734 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $62 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is pootytherewardfarmer, with $121 on it, $320K lifetime loss over 10,703 markets (35% won).
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $254
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $480
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$254 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$62+$38K lifetime
- 2sunnynotbunny60% won of 468$23−$28K lifetime
- 3chaosj8877% won of 410 · whale$23+$22K lifetime
- 40x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-176555816908662% won of 202 · balanced$22+$886 lifetime
- 5KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$20+$37K lifetime
No$480 on it
- 1pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$121−$320K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$88+$28K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,306$74−$51K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$42−$217K lifetime
- 5Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,972 · whale$37+$163K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
3 more- Moonshot$28K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- Alibaba$20K vol.Yes 68%No 32%Smart money: Yes
- Z.ai$10K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $734 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $62 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is pootytherewardfarmer, with $121 on it, $320K lifetime loss over 10,703 markets (35% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.