Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 88 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 54 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
88 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is ytzytz2025, with $17 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 64 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is Wagner275738, with $1.2K on it, $3.7K lifetime profit over 221 markets (89% won).
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $85
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$85 on it
- 1ytzytz202594% won of 64 · balanced$17+$1.6K lifetime
- 2ACara66% won of 369 · whale$11+$45K lifetime
- 3Curry1152% won of 65$6−$72 lifetime
- 4HuskyRRRRR91% won of 163 · whale$5+$8.8K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$5+$132K lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 1Wagner27573889% won of 221 · grinder$1.2K+$3.7K lifetime
- 2iliabouchouev100% won of 5,439 · whale$964+$19K lifetime
- 30xC2F2142E9A754Df582b08856bc6BE69f627eaacf-175920612666680% won of 20 · balanced$354+$585 lifetime
- 4raymond202758% won of 48$354−$2.5K lifetime
- 5JJblair74% won of 69 · balanced$221+$744 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
8 more- Cai Qi$59K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Dong Jun$51K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money split
- Li Xi$31K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Ding Xuexiang$29K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Wang Yi$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Zhao Leji$14K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Wang Huning$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Li Qiang$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is ytzytz2025, with $17 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 64 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is Wagner275738, with $1.2K on it, $3.7K lifetime profit over 221 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.