Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $51K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 146 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 88 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 40% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
146 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2D650c4bBF4b7DbD69E21732dfedf2E8c640E45D-1774169936678, with $203 on it, $36 lifetime loss over 10 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is bluemario, with $5.2K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 684 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 88
- Money on it
- $598
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$598 on it
- 10x2D650c4bBF4b7DbD69E21732dfedf2E8c640E45D-177416993667830% won of 10$203−$36 lifetime
- 211010119700101419963% won of 8$55+$415 lifetime
- 3Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$42+$2.5K lifetime
- 4HuskyRRRRR91% won of 163 · whale$35+$8.8K lifetime
- 5BarcelonaRS19% won of 200$22−$107 lifetime
No$10K on it
- 1bluemario58% won of 684$5.2K−$1.4M lifetime
- 20x124e…a8a981% won of 243 · balanced$1.1K+$4.6K lifetime
- 3sybb76% won of 17$1.0K+$244 lifetime
- 4Daviddu081380% won of 51 · balanced$607+$1.0K lifetime
- 5MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$314+$38K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
8 more- Cai Qi$59K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Zhang Shengmin$34K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Li Xi$31K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Ding Xuexiang$29K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Wang Yi$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Zhao Leji$14K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Wang Huning$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Li Qiang$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?"?
146 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2D650c4bBF4b7DbD69E21732dfedf2E8c640E45D-1774169936678, with $203 on it, $36 lifetime loss over 10 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is bluemario, with $5.2K on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 684 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.