Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 59 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 69 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 38% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
38% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
Who holds it
69 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is goask, with $15 on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is quan, with $1.0K on it, $246 lifetime profit over 31 markets (90% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $301 on No.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $89
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
- Snipers
- 1 · $301
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$89 on it
- 1goask36% won of 219$15−$3.4K lifetime
- 2Bob6550% won of 2$9−$43 lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$9+$132K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$8+$334K lifetime
- 5Enjoy7227% won of 200$7−$2.1K lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 1quan90% won of 31 · balanced$1.0K+$246 lifetime
- 20x463E8eABfECc7abcFA13b6d7EbaD220d9F0c80d5-177488072777385% won of 20 · balanced$1.0K+$364 lifetime
- 3xcnstrategy82% won of 213 · sniper$301+$88K lifetime
- 4PeachBabe67% won of 150 · balanced$72+$2.0K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$69+$570 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
8 more- Cai Qi$59K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Dong Jun$51K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Zhang Shengmin$34K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Li Xi$31K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Ding Xuexiang$29K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Zhao Leji$14K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Wang Huning$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Li Qiang$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?"?
69 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is goask, with $15 on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is quan, with $1.0K on it, $246 lifetime profit over 31 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.