
Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.9K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is goask, with $28 on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is v.l, with $1.2K on it, $74 lifetime loss over 84 markets (90% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.0K on No.
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $142
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.0K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$142 on it
- 1goask36% won of 219$28−$3.4K lifetime
- 2rocky4201150% won of 722 · whale$15+$15K lifetime
- 3Nayara.Rocha60% won of 116$10−$32 lifetime
- 4zejianyu100% won of 8$9+$4 lifetime
- 55atka60% won of 228 · whale$7+$9.9K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1v.l90% won of 84$1.2K−$74 lifetime
- 2xcnstrategy82% won of 213 · sniper$1.0K+$88K lifetime
- 30xrc85% won of 351 · whale$653+$29K lifetime
- 4raymond202759% won of 49$224−$2.5K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$115+$570 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
8 more- Cai Qi$59K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Dong Jun$51K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- Zhang Shengmin$34K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Ding Xuexiang$29K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money split
- Wang Yi$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Zhao Leji$14K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Wang Huning$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Li Qiang$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is goask, with $28 on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is v.l, with $1.2K on it, $74 lifetime loss over 84 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.