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Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?”?

Politics$31K traded68 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes
96%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$31K
traded all time
Held now
$3.9K
by 68 wallets
Smart share · Yes
49%
39 scored holders
Smart share · No
62%
28 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.

Who holds it

68 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is goask, with $28 on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is v.l, with $1.2K on it, $74 lifetime loss over 84 markets (90% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.0K on No.

Yes4%
Smart money share49%
7 days ago 48%a day ago 49%now 49%
Holders
39
Money on it
$142
Holders' win rate
52%
No96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share62% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 62%a day ago 59%now 62%
Holders
29
Money on it
$3.8K
Holders' win rate
81%
Snipers
1 · $1.0K

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$142 on it

  1. 1goask36% won of 219$28−$3.4K lifetime
  2. 2rocky4201150% won of 722 · whale$15+$15K lifetime
  3. 3Nayara.Rocha60% won of 116$10−$32 lifetime
  4. 4zejianyu100% won of 8$9+$4 lifetime
  5. 55atka60% won of 228 · whale$7+$9.9K lifetime

No$3.8K on it

  1. 1v.l90% won of 84$1.2K−$74 lifetime
  2. 2xcnstrategy82% won of 213 · sniper$1.0K+$88K lifetime
  3. 30xrc85% won of 351 · whale$653+$29K lifetime
  4. 4raymond202759% won of 49$224−$2.5K lifetime
  5. 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$115+$570 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?"?

68 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is goask, with $28 on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 219 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is v.l, with $1.2K on it, $74 lifetime loss over 84 markets (90% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.