Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $59K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.3K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 58 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $9.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is Leon8899, with $50 on it, $3.3K lifetime loss over 20 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is 0xrc, with $2.1K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 350 markets (85% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.0K on No.
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $396
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $8.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 2 · $2.0K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$396 on it
- 1Leon889960% won of 20$50−$3.3K lifetime
- 2lion44988% won of 88 · balanced$45+$4.4K lifetime
- 30xA9Dc3b13E78b67B7C7666B09ad8D12112eBC01C9-176101752405854% won of 59$43−$347 lifetime
- 4Sinned123457% won of 7$43+$2.3K lifetime
- 50x2e7d…1a8a12% won of 17$40−$506 lifetime
No$8.9K on it
- 10xrc85% won of 350 · whale$2.1K+$29K lifetime
- 2xcnstrategy82% won of 213 · sniper$2.0K+$88K lifetime
- 3iliabouchouev100% won of 5,439 · whale$656+$19K lifetime
- 4raymond202759% won of 49$648−$2.5K lifetime
- 5v.l90% won of 84$625−$74 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
8 more- Dong Jun$51K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Zhang Shengmin$34K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Li Xi$31K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Ding Xuexiang$29K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Wang Yi$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Zhao Leji$14K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Wang Huning$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Li Qiang$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $9.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is Leon8899, with $50 on it, $3.3K lifetime loss over 20 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is 0xrc, with $2.1K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 350 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.