Who's betting on “Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 55% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $10 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is bluemario, with $751 on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 684 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $63
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$63 on it
- 1spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$10+$27K lifetime
- 2anothertime50% won of 2$9−$2.3K lifetime
- 30xA9Dc3b13E78b67B7C7666B09ad8D12112eBC01C9-176101752405854% won of 59$7−$347 lifetime
- 4b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$6+$22K lifetime
- 5kikikiking95% won of 200$4−$4.4K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1bluemario58% won of 684$751−$1.4M lifetime
- 2werffdsfa92% won of 53 · grinder$401+$1.3K lifetime
- 3iliabouchouev100% won of 5,439 · whale$178+$19K lifetime
- 4NewJake88% won of 32 · balanced$91+$5.1K lifetime
- 5Jusetie79% won of 66 · balanced$73+$24 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
8 more- Cai Qi$59K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Dong Jun$51K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- Zhang Shengmin$34K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Li Xi$31K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Ding Xuexiang$29K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Wang Yi$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Zhao Leji$14K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Wang Huning$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $10 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is bluemario, with $751 on it, $1.4M lifetime loss over 684 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.