polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?”?

Politics$22K traded58 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 4, 2026
0%Yes
100%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$22K
traded all time
Held now
$206
by 58 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
48 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
9 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money movesTrade on Polymarket ↗

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

58 wallets hold a position worth $206 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $5 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 18,116 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Tysha, with $100 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 8,916 markets (47% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share-
Holders
49
Money on it
$15
Holders' win rate
49%
No100%
Smart money share-
Holders
9
Money on it
$191
Holders' win rate
63%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$15 on it

  1. 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 18,116 · whale$5+$203K lifetime
  2. 2n112233% won of 3$1+$5.0K lifetime
  3. 3garbagecollect166% won of 5,804 · whale$1+$7.4K lifetime
  4. 4shiifoo52% won of 6,167 · whale$1+$51K lifetime
  5. 5Wegamble77764% won of 14$1+$12 lifetime

No$191 on it

  1. 1Tysha47% won of 8,916 · whale$100+$27K lifetime
  2. 2momo-091699% won of 4,427$42−$3.1K lifetime
  3. 3PK12351% won of 278 · whale$20+$4.5K lifetime
  4. 4ghorrock64% won of 40,043 · whale$13+$7.7K lifetime
  5. 5coypu88% won of 311 · grinder$12+$1.4K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

More markets in Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

9 more
Who's betting on Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?"?

58 wallets hold a position worth $206 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $5 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 18,116 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Tysha, with $100 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 8,916 markets (47% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.