Who's betting on “Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 33¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $1.1K on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $3.4K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.8K on it
- 1rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$1.1K+$76K lifetime
- 2akug50% won of 4$683+$3.2K lifetime
- 3Arman265% won of 334 · whale$628+$100 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$202+$255K lifetime
- 5Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$194+$104K lifetime
No$7.9K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$3.4K+$973K lifetime
- 2hfv42% won of 44,721$601−$142K lifetime
- 3theta-thunberg56% won of 1,095 · whale$580+$66K lifetime
- 4adenakoz130% won of 233 · noise$540+$11K lifetime
- 5gateway-38% won of 235$378−$278 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
5 more- Russia$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- China$20K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Meta$17K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Google$15K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Anthropic$15K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $1.1K on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $3.4K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 33¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.