Who's betting on “Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is PaddyAlpha, with $40 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $2.3K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $111
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$111 on it
- 1PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$40+$56K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$32+$28K lifetime
- 3ProphecyKing47% won of 386$21−$33 lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$5+$132K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$3+$255K lifetime
No$3.7K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$2.3K+$104K lifetime
- 2melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$776+$56K lifetime
- 3CT-test52% won of 213 · balanced$228+$23 lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$131−$287K lifetime
- 5doctorno9947% won of 357$77−$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
5 more- Saudi Arabia$48K vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Russia$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- China$20K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Meta$17K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Anthropic$15K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is PaddyAlpha, with $40 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $2.3K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.