Who's betting on “Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.3K by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $136 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is melonmanm, with $4.4K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $255
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$255 on it
- 1Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$136+$298K lifetime
- 2fledger88% won of 51 · balanced$47+$455 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$22+$28K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$13−$287K lifetime
- 5PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$11+$56K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
5 more- Saudi Arabia$48K vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- China$20K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Meta$17K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Google$15K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Anthropic$15K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $136 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is melonmanm, with $4.4K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.