Who's betting on “Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is nooneffs, with $200 on it, $218 lifetime loss over 23 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $999 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1nooneffs87% won of 23$200−$218 lifetime
- 2muppet-master64% won of 73$192−$260 lifetime
- 3Roro2269% won of 231 · balanced$192+$9.3K lifetime
- 4Dolof46% won of 41 · noise$105+$9 lifetime
- 5DistMistFist81% won of 27 · balanced$91+$2.2K lifetime
No$2.2K on it
- 1KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$999+$37K lifetime
- 2jjojo3347% won of 17$363+$43 lifetime
- 3seneca-the-younger71% won of 7$190+$78 lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$177−$378K lifetime
- 5cabbag45% won of 227 · noise$157+$208 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
5 more- S + MP$18K vol.Yes 24%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- S$15K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- S + MP + C$14K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money split
- M + KD + L + C$13K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- M + KD + L + SD$12K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is nooneffs, with $200 on it, $218 lifetime loss over 23 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $999 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on August 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.